Why this pick: St. Pauli vs Mainz 05
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (St. Pauli 10, Mainz 05 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
St. PauliMainz 05
0.85
xG per 90
1.97
0.85
npxG per 90
1.90
27.1
PPDA
19.1
3.8
Deep completions per 90
6.6
0.68
xPTS per 90
1.76
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
St. Pauli and Mainz 05 recent form
St. Pauli
0W 2D 4L
Mainz 05
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
St. Pauli at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-6
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.73
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 15
Mainz 05 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-6
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.27
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 15
League matches this season before kick-off: St. Pauli at home only, Mainz 05 away only.
St. Pauli vs Mainz 05 head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: St. Pauli 0 · draws 1 · Mainz 05 2.
0%
33%
67%
St. PauliDrawsMainz 05
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | Mainz 05 | 0-0 | St. Pauli | Bundesliga |
| 2025-02-22 | Mainz 05 | 2-0 | St. Pauli | Bundesliga |
| 2024-10-05 | St. Pauli | 0-3 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- St. Pauli, previous: FC Heidenheim v St. Pauli analysis
- St. Pauli, next: RasenBallsport Leipzig vs St. Pauli prediction
- Mainz 05, previous: Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich: odds and pick
- Mainz 05, next: Mainz 05 – Union Berlin, 2026-05-10