Why this pick: Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Mainz 05 10, Hamburger SV 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Mainz 05Hamburger SV
2.08
xG per 90
1.41
1.70
npxG per 90
1.26
17.5
PPDA
15.2
5.8
Deep completions per 90
6.4
1.51
xPTS per 90
1.33
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mainz 05 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-5
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.09
- Goals against / match
- 1.18
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 11
Hamburger SV away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-6
- Win rate
- 10%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
League matches this season before kick-off: Mainz 05 at home only, Hamburger SV away only.
Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Mainz 05 3 · draws 3 · Hamburger SV 3.
33%
33%
34%
Mainz 05DrawsHamburger SV
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | Hamburger SV | 4-0 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2018-03-03 | Hamburger SV | 0-0 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2017-10-14 | Mainz 05 | 3-2 | Hamburger SV | Bundesliga |
| 2017-05-07 | Hamburger SV | 0-0 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2016-12-17 | Mainz 05 | 3-1 | Hamburger SV | Bundesliga |
| 2016-04-30 | Mainz 05 | 0-0 | Hamburger SV | Bundesliga |
| 2015-12-05 | Hamburger SV | 1-3 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2015-05-03 | Mainz 05 | 1-2 | Hamburger SV | Bundesliga |
| 2014-12-07 | Hamburger SV | 2-1 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Mainz 05, previous: Borussia Dortmund – Mainz 05, 2026-02-13
- Mainz 05, next: Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05 prediction
- Hamburger SV, previous: Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin prediction
- Hamburger SV, next: Hamburger SV vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: odds and pick