Why this pick: Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Borussia Dortmund 10, Mainz 05 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Borussia DortmundMainz 05
2.07
xG per 90
1.92
1.76
npxG per 90
1.54
13.3
PPDA
17.5
9.5
Deep completions per 90
5.9
1.94
xPTS per 90
1.38
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Borussia Dortmund and Mainz 05 recent form
Borussia Dortmund
4W 0D 2L
Mainz 05
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Borussia Dortmund at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-2-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 10
Mainz 05 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-5
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.30
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 10
League matches this season before kick-off: Borussia Dortmund at home only, Mainz 05 away only.
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05 head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Borussia Dortmund 2 · draws 1 · Mainz 05 2.
40%
20%
40%
Borussia DortmundDrawsMainz 05
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-27 | Mainz 05 | 0-2 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 2025-03-30 | Borussia Dortmund | 3-1 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-11-09 | Mainz 05 | 3-1 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 2024-05-11 | Mainz 05 | 3-0 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 2023-12-19 | Borussia Dortmund | 1-1 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Borussia Dortmund, previous: Wolfsburg – Borussia Dortmund, 2026-02-07
- Borussia Dortmund, next: RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund: odds and pick
- Mainz 05, previous: Mainz 05 vs Augsburg: odds and pick
- Mainz 05, next: Mainz 05 v Hamburger SV analysis