Why this pick: Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Mainz 05 10, Wolfsburg 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Mainz 05Wolfsburg
1.42
xG per 90
1.47
1.42
npxG per 90
1.38
16.7
PPDA
13.6
6.1
Deep completions per 90
5.3
1.13
xPTS per 90
1.19
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Mainz 05 and Wolfsburg recent form
Mainz 05
2W 3D 1L
Wolfsburg
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mainz 05 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-5
- Win rate
- 11%
- Goals for / match
- 0.78
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 9
Wolfsburg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-4
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.38
- Goals against / match
- 2.12
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 8
League matches this season before kick-off: Mainz 05 at home only, Wolfsburg away only.
Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Mainz 05 1 · draws 3 · Wolfsburg 1.
20%
60%
20%
Mainz 05DrawsWolfsburg
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-31 | Wolfsburg | 1-1 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-04-19 | Mainz 05 | 2-2 | Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| 2024-12-08 | Wolfsburg | 4-3 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-05-18 | Wolfsburg | 1-3 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-01-13 | Mainz 05 | 1-1 | Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Mainz 05, previous: FC Cologne – Mainz 05, 2026-01-17
- Mainz 05, next: RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Mainz 05: odds and pick
- Wolfsburg, previous: Wolfsburg vs FC Heidenheim prediction
- Wolfsburg, next: FC Cologne vs Wolfsburg: odds and pick