Why this pick: RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Mainz 05
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (RasenBallsport Leipzig 10, Mainz 05 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
RasenBallsport LeipzigMainz 05
2.10
xG per 90
1.66
2.02
npxG per 90
1.51
13.8
PPDA
16.8
8.6
Deep completions per 90
5.8
1.76
xPTS per 90
1.21
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
RasenBallsport Leipzig and Mainz 05 recent form
RasenBallsport Leipzig
2W 1D 3L
Mainz 05
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
RasenBallsport Leipzig at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-0-2
- Win rate
- 78%
- Goals for / match
- 2.44
- Goals against / match
- 1.22
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 9
Mainz 05 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-5
- Win rate
- 11%
- Goals for / match
- 1.22
- Goals against / match
- 2.11
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 9
League matches this season before kick-off: RasenBallsport Leipzig at home only, Mainz 05 away only.
RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Mainz 05 head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: RasenBallsport Leipzig 2 · draws 1 · Mainz 05 2.
40%
20%
40%
RasenBallsport LeipzigDrawsMainz 05
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-13 | Mainz 05 | 0-1 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 2025-03-01 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 1-2 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-10-19 | Mainz 05 | 0-2 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-30 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 0-0 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga |
| 2023-11-04 | Mainz 05 | 2-0 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- RasenBallsport Leipzig, previous: St. Pauli – RasenBallsport Leipzig, 2026-01-27
- RasenBallsport Leipzig, next: FC Cologne vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: odds and pick
- Mainz 05, previous: Mainz 05 – Wolfsburg, 2026-01-24
- Mainz 05, next: Mainz 05 vs Augsburg: odds and pick