Why this pick: Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Atletico Madrid 10, Celta Vigo 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Atletico MadridCelta Vigo
1.82
xG per 90
1.41
1.82
npxG per 90
1.26
11.8
PPDA
13.8
8.9
Deep completions per 90
7.3
1.43
xPTS per 90
1.29
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo recent form
Atletico Madrid
2W 2D 2L
Celta Vigo
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Atletico Madrid at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 14-1-2
- Win rate
- 82%
- Goals for / match
- 2.24
- Goals against / match
- 0.94
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 17
Celta Vigo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-6-4
- Win rate
- 41%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.12
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 17
League matches this season before kick-off: Atletico Madrid at home only, Celta Vigo away only.
Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Atletico Madrid 3 · draws 2 · Celta Vigo 0.
60%
40%
0%
Atletico MadridDrawsCelta Vigo
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | Celta Vigo | 1-1 | Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 2025-02-15 | Atletico Madrid | 1-1 | Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 2024-09-26 | Celta Vigo | 0-1 | Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 2024-05-12 | Atletico Madrid | 1-0 | Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 2023-10-21 | Celta Vigo | 0-3 | Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Atletico Madrid, previous: Valencia – Atletico Madrid, 2026-05-02
- Atletico Madrid, next: Osasuna – Atletico Madrid, 2026-05-12
- Celta Vigo, previous: Celta Vigo vs Elche prediction
- Celta Vigo, next: Celta Vigo vs Levante: odds and pick