Why this pick: Valencia vs Atletico Madrid
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Valencia 10, Atletico Madrid 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ValenciaAtletico Madrid
1.59
xG per 90
1.71
1.37
npxG per 90
1.71
12.1
PPDA
11.8
5.7
Deep completions per 90
8.5
1.50
xPTS per 90
1.24
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Valencia and Atletico Madrid recent form
Valencia
2W 1D 3L
Atletico Madrid
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Valencia at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-5-4
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.44
- Goals against / match
- 1.19
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 16
Atletico Madrid away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-7
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.12
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
League matches this season before kick-off: Valencia at home only, Atletico Madrid away only.
Valencia vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Valencia 1 · draws 0 · Atletico Madrid 4.
20%
0%
80%
ValenciaDrawsAtletico Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | Atletico Madrid | 2-1 | Valencia | La Liga |
| 2025-02-22 | Valencia | 0-3 | Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 2024-09-15 | Atletico Madrid | 3-0 | Valencia | La Liga |
| 2024-01-28 | Atletico Madrid | 2-0 | Valencia | La Liga |
| 2023-09-16 | Valencia | 3-0 | Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Valencia, previous: Valencia vs Girona prediction
- Valencia, next: Athletic Club vs Valencia: odds and pick
- Atletico Madrid, previous: Atletico Madrid – Athletic Club, 2026-04-25
- Atletico Madrid, next: Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction