Why this pick: Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Rayo Vallecano 10, Atletico Madrid 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Rayo VallecanoAtletico Madrid
1.24
xG per 90
1.37
1.17
npxG per 90
1.37
8.5
PPDA
11.0
4.5
Deep completions per 90
8.1
1.26
xPTS per 90
1.49
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid recent form
Rayo Vallecano
2W 0D 4L
Atletico Madrid
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rayo Vallecano at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-6-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.90
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Atletico Madrid away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-5-3
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.09
- Goals against / match
- 0.91
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 11
League matches this season before kick-off: Rayo Vallecano at home only, Atletico Madrid away only.
Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Rayo Vallecano 0 · draws 1 · Atletico Madrid 4.
0%
20%
80%
Rayo VallecanoDrawsAtletico Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | Atletico Madrid | 3-2 | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| 2025-04-24 | Atletico Madrid | 3-0 | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| 2024-09-22 | Rayo Vallecano | 1-1 | Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 2024-01-31 | Atletico Madrid | 2-1 | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| 2023-08-28 | Rayo Vallecano | 0-7 | Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Rayo Vallecano, previous: Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: odds and pick
- Rayo Vallecano, next: Real Betis v Rayo Vallecano analysis
- Atletico Madrid, previous: Atletico Madrid v Real Betis analysis
- Atletico Madrid, next: Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol prediction