Why this pick: Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Real Madrid 10, Rayo Vallecano 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
2.48
xG per 90
1.30
2.18
npxG per 90
1.22
11.7
PPDA
7.7
10.1
Deep completions per 90
4.7
2.16
xPTS per 90
1.41
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Real Madrid at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-0-1
- Win rate
- 90%
- Goals for / match
- 2.30
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
Rayo Vallecano away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-7
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 0.82
- Goals against / match
- 1.73
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
League matches this season before kick-off: Real Madrid at home only, Rayo Vallecano away only.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Real Madrid 4 · draws 4 · Rayo Vallecano 1.
44%
44%
12%
Real MadridDrawsRayo Vallecano
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | Rayo Vallecano | 0-0 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2025-03-09 | Real Madrid | 2-1 | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| 2024-12-14 | Rayo Vallecano | 3-3 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2024-02-18 | Rayo Vallecano | 1-1 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2023-11-05 | Real Madrid | 0-0 | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| 2023-05-24 | Real Madrid | 2-1 | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| 2022-11-07 | Rayo Vallecano | 3-2 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2022-02-26 | Rayo Vallecano | 0-1 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2021-11-06 | Real Madrid | 2-1 | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Real Madrid, previous: Villarreal vs Real Madrid prediction
- Real Madrid, next: Valencia vs Real Madrid: odds and pick
- Rayo Vallecano, previous: Rayo Vallecano – Osasuna, 2026-01-24
- Rayo Vallecano, next: Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid: odds and pick