Why this pick: Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Rayo Vallecano 10, Villarreal 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Rayo VallecanoVillarreal
1.71
xG per 90
1.86
1.64
npxG per 90
1.56
7.8
PPDA
17.1
4.7
Deep completions per 90
7.5
1.49
xPTS per 90
1.76
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal recent form
Rayo Vallecano
3W 3D 0L
Villarreal
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rayo Vallecano at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-10-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.22
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 18
Villarreal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-5-6
- Win rate
- 39%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.39
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 18
League matches this season before kick-off: Rayo Vallecano at home only, Villarreal away only.
Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Rayo Vallecano 0 · draws 2 · Villarreal 3.
0%
40%
60%
Rayo VallecanoDrawsVillarreal
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | Villarreal | 4-0 | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| 2025-02-22 | Rayo Vallecano | 0-1 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 2024-12-18 | Villarreal | 1-1 | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| 2024-04-28 | Villarreal | 3-0 | Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| 2023-09-24 | Rayo Vallecano | 1-1 | Villarreal | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Rayo Vallecano, previous: Valencia v Rayo Vallecano analysis
- Rayo Vallecano, next: Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano: odds and pick
- Villarreal, previous: Villarreal vs Sevilla: odds and pick
- Villarreal, next: Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid prediction