Why this pick: Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Villarreal 10, Atletico Madrid 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
VillarrealAtletico Madrid
1.70
xG per 90
1.78
1.40
npxG per 90
1.70
16.6
PPDA
12.3
6.6
Deep completions per 90
7.6
1.62
xPTS per 90
1.36
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Villarreal and Atletico Madrid recent form
Villarreal
2W 2D 2L
Atletico Madrid
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Villarreal at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 14-1-3
- Win rate
- 78%
- Goals for / match
- 2.39
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 18
Atletico Madrid away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-7
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.22
- Goals against / match
- 1.22
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 18
League matches this season before kick-off: Villarreal at home only, Atletico Madrid away only.
Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Villarreal 0 · draws 2 · Atletico Madrid 3.
0%
40%
60%
VillarrealDrawsAtletico Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-13 | Atletico Madrid | 2-0 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 2025-01-25 | Atletico Madrid | 1-1 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 2024-08-19 | Villarreal | 2-2 | Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 2024-04-01 | Villarreal | 1-2 | Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 2023-11-12 | Atletico Madrid | 3-1 | Villarreal | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Villarreal, previous: Rayo Vallecano – Villarreal, 2026-05-17
- Villarreal, next: Racing Santander vs Villarreal: odds and pick
- Atletico Madrid, previous: Atletico Madrid vs Girona: odds and pick
- Atletico Madrid, next: Atletico Madrid v Malaga analysis