Why this pick: Sevilla vs Real Madrid
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Sevilla 10, Real Madrid 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
SevillaReal Madrid
0.98
xG per 90
1.52
0.91
npxG per 90
1.45
12.5
PPDA
14.1
4.9
Deep completions per 90
10.0
1.30
xPTS per 90
1.59
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Sevilla and Real Madrid recent form
Sevilla
4W 0D 2L
Real Madrid
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sevilla at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-7
- Win rate
- 39%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 18
Real Madrid away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-4-4
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.72
- Goals against / match
- 1.06
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 18
League matches this season before kick-off: Sevilla at home only, Real Madrid away only.
Sevilla vs Real Madrid head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Sevilla 0 · draws 1 · Real Madrid 8.
0%
11%
89%
SevillaDrawsReal Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | Real Madrid | 2-0 | Sevilla | La Liga |
| 2025-05-18 | Sevilla | 0-2 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2024-12-22 | Real Madrid | 4-2 | Sevilla | La Liga |
| 2024-02-25 | Real Madrid | 1-0 | Sevilla | La Liga |
| 2023-10-21 | Sevilla | 1-1 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2023-05-27 | Sevilla | 1-2 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2022-10-22 | Real Madrid | 3-1 | Sevilla | La Liga |
| 2022-04-17 | Sevilla | 2-3 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2021-11-28 | Real Madrid | 2-1 | Sevilla | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Sevilla, previous: Villarreal vs Sevilla: odds and pick
- Sevilla, next: Celta Vigo – Sevilla, 2026-05-23
- Real Madrid, previous: Real Madrid vs Real Oviedo prediction
- Real Madrid, next: Real Madrid vs Athletic Club: odds and pick