Why this pick: Real Madrid vs Athletic Club
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Real Madrid 10, Athletic Club 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Real MadridAthletic Club
1.61
xG per 90
1.28
1.53
npxG per 90
1.28
13.8
PPDA
10.2
9.8
Deep completions per 90
8.0
1.70
xPTS per 90
1.27
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Real Madrid and Athletic Club recent form
Real Madrid
4W 1D 1L
Athletic Club
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Real Madrid at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 15-1-2
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.28
- Goals against / match
- 0.78
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 18
Athletic Club away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-11
- Win rate
- 22%
- Goals for / match
- 1.06
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 18
League matches this season before kick-off: Real Madrid at home only, Athletic Club away only.
Real Madrid vs Athletic Club head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Real Madrid 4 · draws 0 · Athletic Club 1.
80%
0%
20%
Real MadridDrawsAthletic Club
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 | Athletic Club | 0-3 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2025-04-20 | Real Madrid | 1-0 | Athletic Club | La Liga |
| 2024-12-04 | Athletic Club | 2-1 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2024-03-31 | Real Madrid | 2-0 | Athletic Club | La Liga |
| 2023-08-12 | Athletic Club | 0-2 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Real Madrid, previous: Sevilla vs Real Madrid: odds and pick
- Real Madrid, next: Espanyol vs Real Madrid: odds and pick
- Athletic Club, previous: Athletic Club – Celta Vigo, 2026-05-17
- Athletic Club, next: Athletic Club vs Sevilla: odds and pick