Why this pick: Valencia vs Real Madrid
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Valencia 10, Real Madrid 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ValenciaReal Madrid
1.64
xG per 90
2.63
1.35
npxG per 90
2.26
11.7
PPDA
11.6
5.8
Deep completions per 90
11.5
1.64
xPTS per 90
2.31
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Valencia and Real Madrid recent form
Valencia
3W 1D 2L
Real Madrid
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Valencia at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-2
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.36
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
Real Madrid away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-1
- Win rate
- 64%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 11
League matches this season before kick-off: Valencia at home only, Real Madrid away only.
Valencia vs Real Madrid head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Valencia 1 · draws 1 · Real Madrid 3.
20%
20%
60%
ValenciaDrawsReal Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | Real Madrid | 4-0 | Valencia | La Liga |
| 2025-04-05 | Real Madrid | 1-2 | Valencia | La Liga |
| 2025-01-03 | Valencia | 1-2 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2024-03-02 | Valencia | 2-2 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2023-11-11 | Real Madrid | 5-1 | Valencia | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Valencia, previous: Real Betis vs Valencia prediction
- Valencia, next: Levante vs Valencia prediction
- Real Madrid, previous: Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: odds and pick
- Real Madrid, next: Real Madrid – Real Sociedad, 2026-02-14