Why this pick: Villarreal vs Real Madrid
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Villarreal 10, Real Madrid 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
VillarrealReal Madrid
1.93
xG per 90
2.61
1.85
npxG per 90
2.23
16.8
PPDA
11.3
8.5
Deep completions per 90
10.4
1.91
xPTS per 90
2.26
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Villarreal and Real Madrid recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Villarreal at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-1-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.30
- Goals against / match
- 0.70
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
Real Madrid away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
League matches this season before kick-off: Villarreal at home only, Real Madrid away only.
Villarreal vs Real Madrid head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Villarreal 2 · draws 2 · Real Madrid 5.
22%
22%
56%
VillarrealDrawsReal Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | Real Madrid | 3-1 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 2025-03-15 | Villarreal | 1-2 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2024-10-05 | Real Madrid | 2-0 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 2024-05-19 | Villarreal | 4-4 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2023-12-17 | Real Madrid | 4-1 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 2023-04-08 | Real Madrid | 2-3 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 2023-01-19 | Villarreal | 2-3 | Real Madrid | Copa del Rey |
| 2023-01-07 | Villarreal | 2-1 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 2022-02-12 | Villarreal | 0-0 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
Before and after this match
- Villarreal, previous: Real Betis v Villarreal analysis
- Villarreal, next: Osasuna vs Villarreal prediction
- Real Madrid, previous: Real Madrid vs Levante: odds and pick
- Real Madrid, next: Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: odds and pick