Why this pick: Brest vs Lorient
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Brest 10, Lorient 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BrestLorient
1.43
xG per 90
1.46
1.12
npxG per 90
1.31
11.6
PPDA
20.5
4.1
Deep completions per 90
5.6
1.55
xPTS per 90
1.43
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Brest and Lorient recent form
Brest
1W 2D 3L
Lorient
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brest at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.30
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Lorient away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-5
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.70
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
League matches this season before kick-off: Brest at home only, Lorient away only.
Brest vs Lorient head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Brest 2 · draws 1 · Lorient 0.
67%
33%
0%
BrestDrawsLorient
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-19 | Lorient | 3-3 | Brest | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-03-31 | Lorient | 0-1 | Brest | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-12-20 | Brest | 4-0 | Lorient | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Brest, previous: Nice vs Brest prediction
- Brest, next: Lille vs Brest: odds and pick
- Lorient, previous: Lorient vs Nantes prediction
- Lorient, next: Lorient v Angers analysis