Why this pick: Lille vs Brest
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Lille 10, Brest 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LilleBrest
1.27
xG per 90
1.47
1.12
npxG per 90
1.16
14.3
PPDA
11.7
7.6
Deep completions per 90
4.9
1.20
xPTS per 90
1.53
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Lille and Brest recent form
Lille
1W 1D 4L
Brest
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lille at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-1-3
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.70
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Brest away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-6
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
League matches this season before kick-off: Lille at home only, Brest away only.
Lille vs Brest head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Lille 3 · draws 4 · Brest 2.
33%
44%
23%
LilleDrawsBrest
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-17 | Brest | 3-3 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-05-10 | Brest | 2-0 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-12-06 | Lille | 3-1 | Brest | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-03-17 | Brest | 1-1 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-10-22 | Lille | 1-0 | Brest | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-02-24 | Lille | 2-1 | Brest | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-01-11 | Brest | 0-0 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 2022-01-22 | Brest | 2-0 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 2021-10-23 | Lille | 1-1 | Brest | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Lille, previous: Metz – Lille, 2026-02-08
- Lille, next: Angers v Lille analysis
- Brest, previous: Brest vs Lorient: odds and pick
- Brest, next: Brest – Marseille, 2026-02-20