Why this pick: Brest vs Toulouse
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Brest 10, Toulouse 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BrestToulouse
1.37
xG per 90
1.23
1.06
npxG per 90
1.00
13.1
PPDA
15.4
4.2
Deep completions per 90
6.2
1.37
xPTS per 90
1.41
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Brest and Toulouse recent form
Brest
3W 1D 2L
Toulouse
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brest at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-2
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.56
- Goals against / match
- 1.22
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 9
Toulouse away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-3
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 8
League matches this season before kick-off: Brest at home only, Toulouse away only.
Brest vs Toulouse head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Brest 3 · draws 1 · Toulouse 1.
60%
20%
20%
BrestDrawsToulouse
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-24 | Toulouse | 2-0 | Brest | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-03-30 | Toulouse | 2-4 | Brest | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-09-22 | Brest | 2-0 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Toulouse | 0-3 | Brest | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Brest | 1-1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Brest, previous: Lyon vs Brest prediction
- Brest, next: Nice vs Brest prediction
- Toulouse, previous: Toulouse vs Nice: odds and pick
- Toulouse, next: Toulouse – Auxerre, 2026-02-01