Why this pick: Toulouse vs Nice
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Toulouse 10, Nice 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ToulouseNice
1.33
xG per 90
1.22
1.02
npxG per 90
1.14
15.5
PPDA
23.0
5.4
Deep completions per 90
4.6
1.54
xPTS per 90
0.91
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Toulouse and Nice recent form
Toulouse
3W 2D 1L
Nice
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Toulouse at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.56
- Goals against / match
- 1.56
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 9
Nice away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-6
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 8
League matches this season before kick-off: Toulouse at home only, Nice away only.
Toulouse vs Nice head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Toulouse 2 · draws 2 · Nice 1.
40%
40%
20%
ToulouseDrawsNice
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-16 | Nice | 0-1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-02-02 | Toulouse | 1-1 | Nice | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-08-25 | Nice | 1-1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-03-03 | Toulouse | 2-1 | Nice | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-11-26 | Nice | 1-0 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Toulouse, previous: Toulouse vs Lens: odds and pick
- Toulouse, next: Brest v Toulouse analysis
- Nice, previous: Nice – Strasbourg, 2026-01-03
- Nice, next: Nantes – Nice, 2026-01-25