Why this pick: Lens vs Nantes
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Lens 10, Nantes 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LensNantes
2.41
xG per 90
1.35
2.34
npxG per 90
1.27
9.6
PPDA
17.2
10.5
Deep completions per 90
4.3
1.94
xPTS per 90
1.33
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Lens and Nantes recent form
Lens
3W 2D 1L
Nantes
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lens at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 13-0-2
- Win rate
- 87%
- Goals for / match
- 2.27
- Goals against / match
- 0.73
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 15
Nantes away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-5-9
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 0.69
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 16
League matches this season before kick-off: Lens at home only, Nantes away only.
Lens vs Nantes head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Lens 4 · draws 0 · Nantes 1.
80%
0%
20%
LensDrawsNantes
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | Nantes | 1-2 | Lens | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-02-23 | Nantes | 3-1 | Lens | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-11-09 | Lens | 3-2 | Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-02-03 | Nantes | 0-1 | Lens | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-10-28 | Lens | 4-0 | Nantes | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Lens, previous: Nice vs Lens: odds and pick
- Lens, next: Lens vs Paris Saint Germain: odds and pick
- Nantes, previous: Nantes v Marseille analysis
- Nantes, next: Nantes vs Toulouse prediction