Why this pick: Nantes vs Marseille
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Nantes 10, Marseille 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
NantesMarseille
1.14
xG per 90
1.96
1.06
npxG per 90
1.89
17.3
PPDA
10.5
4.4
Deep completions per 90
7.9
1.15
xPTS per 90
1.75
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Nantes and Marseille recent form
Nantes
0W 3D 3L
Marseille
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nantes at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-10
- Win rate
- 13%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 15
Marseille away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-1-8
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.47
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
League matches this season before kick-off: Nantes at home only, Marseille away only.
Nantes vs Marseille head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Nantes 1 · draws 1 · Marseille 3.
20%
20%
60%
NantesDrawsMarseille
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Marseille | 0-2 | Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Marseille | 2-0 | Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-11-03 | Nantes | 1-2 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-03-10 | Marseille | 2-0 | Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-09-01 | Nantes | 1-1 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Nantes, previous: Rennes v Nantes analysis
- Nantes, next: Lens – Nantes, 2026-05-08
- Marseille, previous: Marseille vs Nice: odds and pick
- Marseille, next: Le Havre vs Marseille prediction