Why this pick: Lens vs Toulouse
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Lens 10, Toulouse 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LensToulouse
1.90
xG per 90
1.40
1.82
npxG per 90
1.40
10.8
PPDA
12.7
9.9
Deep completions per 90
7.3
1.68
xPTS per 90
1.48
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Lens and Toulouse recent form
Lens
2W 2D 2L
Toulouse
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lens at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 12-0-2
- Win rate
- 86%
- Goals for / match
- 2.21
- Goals against / match
- 0.64
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 14
Toulouse away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-7
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
League matches this season before kick-off: Lens at home only, Toulouse away only.
Lens vs Toulouse head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Lens 3 · draws 1 · Toulouse 1.
60%
20%
20%
LensDrawsToulouse
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | Toulouse | 0-3 | Lens | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-05-10 | Toulouse | 1-1 | Lens | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-01-05 | Lens | 0-1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-01-28 | Toulouse | 0-2 | Lens | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-09-24 | Lens | 2-1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Lens, previous: Lille vs Lens prediction
- Lens, next: Brest vs Lens: odds and pick
- Toulouse, previous: Toulouse vs Lille: odds and pick
- Toulouse, next: Toulouse v Monaco analysis