Why this pick: Toulouse vs Monaco
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Toulouse 10, Monaco 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ToulouseMonaco
1.38
xG per 90
2.05
1.38
npxG per 90
1.90
13.4
PPDA
8.7
7.1
Deep completions per 90
10.0
1.36
xPTS per 90
1.83
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Toulouse and Monaco recent form
Toulouse
2W 0D 4L
Monaco
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Toulouse at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-5
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 15
Monaco away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-6
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.36
- Goals against / match
- 1.64
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
League matches this season before kick-off: Toulouse at home only, Monaco away only.
Toulouse vs Monaco head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Toulouse 2 · draws 1 · Monaco 5.
25%
12%
63%
ToulouseDrawsMonaco
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | Monaco | 1-0 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-03-07 | Toulouse | 1-1 | Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-12-07 | Monaco | 2-0 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-02-18 | Monaco | 1-2 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-12-20 | Toulouse | 1-2 | Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-06-03 | Monaco | 1-2 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2022-11-06 | Toulouse | 0-2 | Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| 2019-12-04 | Toulouse | 1-2 | Monaco | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Toulouse, previous: Lens – Toulouse, 2026-04-17
- Toulouse, next: Strasbourg vs Toulouse: odds and pick
- Monaco, previous: Monaco – Auxerre, 2026-04-19
- Monaco, next: Metz – Monaco, 2026-05-03