Why this pick: Marseille vs Lille
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Marseille 10, Lille 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
MarseilleLille
1.70
xG per 90
1.26
1.54
npxG per 90
1.19
10.8
PPDA
14.0
6.7
Deep completions per 90
8.2
1.37
xPTS per 90
1.44
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Marseille and Lille recent form
Marseille
3W 2D 1L
Lille
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Marseille at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-3-1
- Win rate
- 69%
- Goals for / match
- 2.54
- Goals against / match
- 1.15
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 13
Lille away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-2-5
- Win rate
- 46%
- Goals for / match
- 1.54
- Goals against / match
- 1.46
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: Marseille at home only, Lille away only.
Marseille vs Lille head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Marseille 0 · draws 4 · Lille 2.
0%
67%
33%
MarseilleDrawsLille
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 | Lille | 1-0 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Lille | 1-1 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-01-14 | Marseille | 1-1 | Lille | Coupe de France |
| 2024-12-14 | Marseille | 1-1 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-04-05 | Lille | 3-1 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-11-04 | Marseille | 0-0 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Marseille, previous: Marseille vs Auxerre prediction
- Marseille, next: Monaco – Marseille, 2026-04-05
- Lille, previous: Rennes vs Lille: odds and pick
- Lille, next: Lille vs Lens prediction