Why this pick: Monaco vs Marseille
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Monaco 10, Marseille 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
MonacoMarseille
1.93
xG per 90
1.68
1.85
npxG per 90
1.53
9.0
PPDA
11.4
8.3
Deep completions per 90
7.1
2.06
xPTS per 90
1.43
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Monaco and Marseille recent form
Monaco
5W 1D 0L
Marseille
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Monaco at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-1-4
- Win rate
- 64%
- Goals for / match
- 2.07
- Goals against / match
- 1.36
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
Marseille away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-1-6
- Win rate
- 46%
- Goals for / match
- 1.54
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: Monaco at home only, Marseille away only.
Monaco vs Marseille head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Monaco 2 · draws 1 · Marseille 2.
40%
20%
40%
MonacoDrawsMarseille
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | Marseille | 1-0 | Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Monaco | 3-0 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Marseille | 2-1 | Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-01-27 | Marseille | 2-2 | Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-09-30 | Monaco | 3-2 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Monaco, previous: Lyon vs Monaco prediction
- Monaco, next: Paris FC v Monaco analysis
- Marseille, previous: Marseille – Lille, 2026-03-22
- Marseille, next: Marseille vs Metz: odds and pick