Why this pick: Nice vs Paris Saint Germain
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Nice 10, Paris Saint Germain 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
NiceParis Saint Germain
1.67
xG per 90
2.47
1.67
npxG per 90
2.39
12.3
PPDA
8.1
5.7
Deep completions per 90
13.7
1.41
xPTS per 90
2.21
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Nice and Paris Saint Germain recent form
Nice
1W 2D 3L
Paris Saint Germain
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nice at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-4
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.31
- Goals against / match
- 1.62
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
Paris Saint Germain away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-2-3
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 1.77
- Goals against / match
- 1.15
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: Nice at home only, Paris Saint Germain away only.
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Nice 2 · draws 1 · Paris Saint Germain 2.
40%
20%
40%
NiceDrawsParis Saint Germain
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | Paris Saint Germain | 1-0 | Nice | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-04-25 | Paris Saint Germain | 1-3 | Nice | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-10-06 | Nice | 1-1 | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-05-15 | Nice | 1-2 | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-09-15 | Paris Saint Germain | 2-3 | Nice | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Nice, previous: Angers v Nice analysis
- Nice, next: Strasbourg v Nice analysis
- Paris Saint Germain, previous: Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco: odds and pick
- Paris Saint Germain, next: Paris Saint Germain – Toulouse, 2026-04-03