Why this pick: Paris Saint Germain vs Toulouse
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Paris Saint Germain 10, Toulouse 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Paris Saint GermainToulouse
2.68
xG per 90
1.49
2.52
npxG per 90
1.49
7.7
PPDA
11.3
13.0
Deep completions per 90
8.3
2.25
xPTS per 90
1.64
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Paris Saint Germain and Toulouse recent form
Paris Saint Germain
4W 1D 1L
Toulouse
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Paris Saint Germain at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-1-1
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.58
- Goals against / match
- 0.58
- Clean sheets
- 9 of 12
Toulouse away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-6
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.31
- Goals against / match
- 1.15
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: Paris Saint Germain at home only, Toulouse away only.
Paris Saint Germain vs Toulouse head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Paris Saint Germain 3 · draws 1 · Toulouse 1.
60%
20%
20%
Paris Saint GermainDrawsToulouse
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-30 | Toulouse | 3-6 | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Toulouse | 0-1 | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-11-22 | Paris Saint Germain | 3-0 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-05-12 | Paris Saint Germain | 1-3 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-08-19 | Toulouse | 1-1 | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Paris Saint Germain, previous: Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: odds and pick
- Paris Saint Germain, next: Paris Saint Germain – Lyon, 2026-04-19
- Toulouse, previous: Toulouse – Lorient, 2026-03-21
- Toulouse, next: Toulouse vs Lille: odds and pick