Why this pick: Toulouse vs Lens
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Toulouse 10, Lens 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ToulouseLens
1.42
xG per 90
2.14
1.11
npxG per 90
1.99
15.5
PPDA
12.6
5.6
Deep completions per 90
7.4
1.66
xPTS per 90
1.96
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Toulouse and Lens recent form
Toulouse
3W 2D 1L
Lens
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Toulouse at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-2
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 8
Lens away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-2
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.12
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 8
League matches this season before kick-off: Toulouse at home only, Lens away only.
Toulouse vs Lens head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Toulouse 1 · draws 1 · Lens 2.
25%
25%
50%
ToulouseDrawsLens
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-10 | Toulouse | 1-1 | Lens | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-01-05 | Lens | 0-1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-01-28 | Toulouse | 0-2 | Lens | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-09-24 | Lens | 2-1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Toulouse, previous: Paris FC – Toulouse, 2025-12-13
- Toulouse, next: Toulouse vs Nice: odds and pick
- Lens, previous: Lens vs Nice prediction
- Lens, next: Lens v Auxerre analysis