Why this pick: Toulouse vs Lorient
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Toulouse 10, Lorient 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ToulouseLorient
1.39
xG per 90
1.31
1.39
npxG per 90
1.23
11.3
PPDA
18.3
8.4
Deep completions per 90
5.0
1.43
xPTS per 90
1.34
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Toulouse and Lorient recent form
Toulouse
1W 2D 3L
Lorient
2W 4D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Toulouse at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-4
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.54
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 13
Lorient away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-5-6
- Win rate
- 15%
- Goals for / match
- 0.85
- Goals against / match
- 1.62
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: Toulouse at home only, Lorient away only.
Toulouse vs Lorient head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Toulouse 3 · draws 5 · Lorient 1.
33%
56%
11%
ToulouseDrawsLorient
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | Lorient | 1-1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-04-28 | Lorient | 1-2 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-12-03 | Toulouse | 1-1 | Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-04-23 | Lorient | 0-1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2022-08-21 | Toulouse | 2-2 | Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| 2018-10-31 | Toulouse | 0-1 | Lorient | Coupe de la Ligue |
| 2017-02-08 | Lorient | 1-1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2016-12-10 | Toulouse | 3-2 | Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| 2016-04-16 | Lorient | 1-1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Toulouse, previous: Metz v Toulouse analysis
- Toulouse, next: Paris Saint Germain – Toulouse, 2026-04-03
- Lorient, previous: Lorient – Lens, 2026-03-14
- Lorient, next: Lorient vs Paris FC: odds and pick