Why this pick: Toulouse vs Lyon
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Toulouse 10, Lyon 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ToulouseLyon
1.38
xG per 90
1.48
1.38
npxG per 90
1.33
14.2
PPDA
20.3
6.3
Deep completions per 90
8.4
1.44
xPTS per 90
1.28
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Toulouse and Lyon recent form
Toulouse
1W 1D 4L
Lyon
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Toulouse at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-6-5
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.44
- Goals against / match
- 1.44
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 16
Lyon away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-5
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.38
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 16
League matches this season before kick-off: Toulouse at home only, Lyon away only.
Toulouse vs Lyon head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Toulouse 1 · draws 1 · Lyon 3.
20%
20%
60%
ToulouseDrawsLyon
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | Lyon | 1-2 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Lyon | 0-0 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-09-29 | Toulouse | 1-2 | Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-03-15 | Toulouse | 2-3 | Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-12-10 | Lyon | 3-0 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Toulouse, previous: Strasbourg vs Toulouse: odds and pick
- Toulouse, next: Nantes vs Toulouse prediction
- Lyon, previous: Lyon vs Rennes prediction
- Lyon, next: Lyon vs Lens prediction