Why this pick: Strasbourg vs Toulouse
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Strasbourg 10, Toulouse 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
StrasbourgToulouse
1.70
xG per 90
1.53
1.54
npxG per 90
1.53
9.8
PPDA
13.6
6.3
Deep completions per 90
7.3
1.57
xPTS per 90
1.47
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Strasbourg and Toulouse recent form
Strasbourg
2W 0D 4L
Toulouse
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Strasbourg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-3-4
- Win rate
- 53%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.87
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 15
Toulouse away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-8
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
League matches this season before kick-off: Strasbourg at home only, Toulouse away only.
Strasbourg vs Toulouse head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Strasbourg 3 · draws 1 · Toulouse 1.
60%
20%
20%
StrasbourgDrawsToulouse
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | Toulouse | 1-0 | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Strasbourg | 2-1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-01-12 | Toulouse | 1-2 | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-04-07 | Toulouse | 0-0 | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-08-27 | Strasbourg | 2-0 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Strasbourg, previous: Lorient vs Strasbourg: odds and pick
- Strasbourg, next: Angers v Strasbourg analysis
- Toulouse, previous: Toulouse v Monaco analysis
- Toulouse, next: Toulouse – Lyon, 2026-05-10