Why this pick: Arsenal vs Bournemouth
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Arsenal 10, Bournemouth 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ArsenalBournemouth
1.93
xG per 90
1.86
1.93
npxG per 90
1.71
9.3
PPDA
13.7
8.5
Deep completions per 90
6.8
2.07
xPTS per 90
1.67
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Arsenal and Bournemouth recent form
Arsenal
3W 1D 2L
Bournemouth
1W 5D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Arsenal at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 12-2-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 15
Bournemouth away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-7-5
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.53
- Goals against / match
- 2.07
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
League matches this season before kick-off: Arsenal at home only, Bournemouth away only.
Arsenal vs Bournemouth head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Arsenal 3 · draws 0 · Bournemouth 2.
60%
0%
40%
ArsenalDrawsBournemouth
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | Bournemouth | 2-3 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2025-05-03 | Arsenal | 1-2 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2024-10-19 | Bournemouth | 2-0 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2024-05-04 | Arsenal | 3-0 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2023-09-30 | Bournemouth | 0-4 | Arsenal | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Arsenal, previous: Arsenal v Everton analysis
- Arsenal, next: Manchester City vs Arsenal prediction
- Bournemouth, previous: Bournemouth v Manchester United analysis
- Bournemouth, next: Newcastle United v Bournemouth analysis