Why this pick: Manchester City vs Arsenal
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Manchester City 10, Arsenal 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Manchester CityArsenal
1.94
xG per 90
1.96
1.86
npxG per 90
1.88
9.9
PPDA
9.6
9.9
Deep completions per 90
7.8
1.95
xPTS per 90
2.05
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Manchester City and Arsenal recent form
Manchester City
3W 1D 2L
Arsenal
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Manchester City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 11-3-1
- Win rate
- 73%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.73
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 15
Arsenal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-5-2
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 0.81
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 16
League matches this season before kick-off: Manchester City at home only, Arsenal away only.
Manchester City vs Arsenal head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Manchester City 1 · draws 3 · Arsenal 2.
17%
50%
33%
Manchester CityDrawsArsenal
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Arsenal | 0-2 | Manchester City | League Cup |
| 2025-09-21 | Arsenal | 1-1 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2025-02-02 | Arsenal | 5-1 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2024-09-22 | Manchester City | 2-2 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2024-03-31 | Manchester City | 0-0 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2023-10-08 | Arsenal | 1-0 | Manchester City | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Manchester City, previous: Chelsea v Manchester City analysis
- Manchester City, next: Burnley vs Manchester City prediction
- Arsenal, previous: Arsenal vs Bournemouth: odds and pick
- Arsenal, next: Arsenal v Newcastle United analysis