Why this pick: Arsenal vs Burnley
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Arsenal 10, Burnley 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ArsenalBurnley
2.11
xG per 90
1.07
2.03
npxG per 90
1.07
10.3
PPDA
14.8
7.8
Deep completions per 90
4.0
1.93
xPTS per 90
0.68
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Arsenal and Burnley recent form
Arsenal
4W 1D 1L
Burnley
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Arsenal at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 14-2-2
- Win rate
- 78%
- Goals for / match
- 2.22
- Goals against / match
- 0.61
- Clean sheets
- 10 of 18
Burnley away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-13
- Win rate
- 11%
- Goals for / match
- 1.11
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 18
League matches this season before kick-off: Arsenal at home only, Burnley away only.
Arsenal vs Burnley head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Arsenal 3 · draws 0 · Burnley 0.
100%
0%
0%
ArsenalDrawsBurnley
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | Burnley | 0-2 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2024-02-17 | Burnley | 0-5 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2023-11-11 | Arsenal | 3-1 | Burnley | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Arsenal, previous: West Ham v Arsenal analysis
- Arsenal, next: Crystal Palace – Arsenal, 2026-05-24
- Burnley, previous: Burnley vs Aston Villa: odds and pick
- Burnley, next: Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction