Why this pick: Bournemouth vs Chelsea
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Bournemouth 10, Chelsea 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BournemouthChelsea
1.45
xG per 90
1.83
1.29
npxG per 90
1.83
8.6
PPDA
10.1
7.4
Deep completions per 90
7.9
1.35
xPTS per 90
1.47
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Bournemouth and Chelsea recent form
Bournemouth
1W 1D 4L
Chelsea
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bournemouth at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-1
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
Chelsea away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 2.14
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
League matches this season before kick-off: Bournemouth at home only, Chelsea away only.
Bournemouth vs Chelsea head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Bournemouth 0 · draws 2 · Chelsea 5.
0%
29%
71%
BournemouthDrawsChelsea
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-14 | Chelsea | 2-2 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2024-09-14 | Bournemouth | 0-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2024-05-19 | Chelsea | 2-1 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2023-09-17 | Bournemouth | 0-0 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2023-05-06 | Bournemouth | 1-3 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2022-12-27 | Chelsea | 2-0 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2021-07-27 | Bournemouth | 1-2 | Chelsea | Friendlies Clubs |
Before and after this match
- Bournemouth, previous: Bournemouth vs Everton: odds and pick
- Bournemouth, next: Manchester United vs Bournemouth prediction
- Chelsea, previous: Leeds v Chelsea analysis
- Chelsea, next: Chelsea vs Everton: odds and pick