Why this pick: Brentford vs Arsenal
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Brentford 10, Arsenal 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BrentfordArsenal
1.80
xG per 90
2.14
1.73
npxG per 90
2.07
9.9
PPDA
10.3
8.0
Deep completions per 90
9.9
1.40
xPTS per 90
2.30
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Brentford and Arsenal recent form
Brentford
4W 0D 2L
Arsenal
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brentford at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-2
- Win rate
- 58%
- Goals for / match
- 1.92
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
Arsenal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-2
- Win rate
- 58%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 12
League matches this season before kick-off: Brentford at home only, Arsenal away only.
Brentford vs Arsenal head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Brentford 0 · draws 1 · Arsenal 4.
0%
20%
80%
BrentfordDrawsArsenal
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 | Arsenal | 2-0 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2025-04-12 | Arsenal | 1-1 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2025-01-01 | Brentford | 1-3 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2024-03-09 | Arsenal | 2-1 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2023-11-25 | Brentford | 0-1 | Arsenal | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Brentford, previous: Newcastle United vs Brentford prediction
- Brentford, next: Brentford vs Brighton: odds and pick
- Arsenal, previous: Arsenal vs Sunderland prediction
- Arsenal, next: Wolverhampton Wanderers – Arsenal, 2026-02-18