Why this pick: Brentford vs Brighton
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Brentford 10, Brighton 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BrentfordBrighton
1.91
xG per 90
1.31
1.84
npxG per 90
1.16
10.0
PPDA
9.6
7.9
Deep completions per 90
5.9
1.55
xPTS per 90
1.27
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Brentford and Brighton recent form
Brentford
3W 1D 2L
Brighton
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brentford at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-2
- Win rate
- 54%
- Goals for / match
- 1.85
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
Brighton away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-7
- Win rate
- 15%
- Goals for / match
- 1.08
- Goals against / match
- 1.54
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: Brentford at home only, Brighton away only.
Brentford vs Brighton head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Brentford 1 · draws 2 · Brighton 2.
20%
40%
40%
BrentfordDrawsBrighton
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | Brighton | 2-1 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2025-04-19 | Brentford | 4-2 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2024-12-27 | Brighton | 0-0 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2024-04-03 | Brentford | 0-0 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2023-12-06 | Brighton | 2-1 | Brentford | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Brentford, previous: Brentford vs Arsenal prediction
- Brentford, next: Burnley v Brentford analysis
- Brighton, previous: Aston Villa vs Brighton: odds and pick
- Brighton, next: Brighton v Nottingham Forest analysis