Why this pick: Brighton vs Bournemouth
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Brighton 10, Bournemouth 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BrightonBournemouth
1.63
xG per 90
1.97
1.48
npxG per 90
1.89
9.1
PPDA
9.9
6.7
Deep completions per 90
7.6
1.19
xPTS per 90
1.65
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Brighton and Bournemouth recent form
Brighton
2W 3D 1L
Bournemouth
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brighton at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Bournemouth away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-5
- Win rate
- 10%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.90
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
League matches this season before kick-off: Brighton at home only, Bournemouth away only.
Brighton vs Bournemouth head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Brighton 3 · draws 0 · Bournemouth 2.
60%
0%
40%
BrightonDrawsBournemouth
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-13 | Bournemouth | 2-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2025-02-25 | Brighton | 2-1 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2024-11-23 | Bournemouth | 1-2 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2024-04-28 | Bournemouth | 3-0 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2023-09-24 | Brighton | 3-1 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Brighton, previous: Manchester City vs Brighton: odds and pick
- Brighton, next: Fulham vs Brighton: odds and pick
- Bournemouth, previous: Bournemouth vs Tottenham: odds and pick
- Bournemouth, next: Bournemouth – Liverpool, 2026-01-24