Why this pick: Bournemouth vs Liverpool
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Bournemouth 10, Liverpool 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BournemouthLiverpool
1.79
xG per 90
1.74
1.71
npxG per 90
1.66
11.9
PPDA
11.9
7.4
Deep completions per 90
9.8
1.56
xPTS per 90
1.97
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Bournemouth and Liverpool recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bournemouth at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-2
- Win rate
- 45%
- Goals for / match
- 1.45
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 11
Liverpool away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-4
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.55
- Goals against / match
- 1.64
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
League matches this season before kick-off: Bournemouth at home only, Liverpool away only.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Bournemouth 1 · draws 0 · Liverpool 8.
11%
0%
89%
BournemouthDrawsLiverpool
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-15 | Liverpool | 4-2 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2025-02-01 | Bournemouth | 0-2 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2024-09-21 | Liverpool | 3-0 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2024-01-21 | Bournemouth | 0-4 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2023-11-01 | Bournemouth | 1-2 | Liverpool | League Cup |
| 2023-08-19 | Liverpool | 3-1 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2023-03-11 | Bournemouth | 1-0 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2022-08-27 | Liverpool | 9-0 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2020-03-07 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Bournemouth, previous: Brighton vs Bournemouth prediction
- Bournemouth, next: Wolverhampton Wanderers – Bournemouth, 2026-01-31
- Liverpool, previous: Liverpool v Burnley analysis
- Liverpool, next: Liverpool vs Newcastle United: odds and pick