Why this pick: Brighton vs Crystal Palace
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Brighton 10, Crystal Palace 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BrightonCrystal Palace
1.57
xG per 90
1.56
1.42
npxG per 90
1.41
9.6
PPDA
13.9
6.7
Deep completions per 90
7.6
1.29
xPTS per 90
1.19
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Brighton and Crystal Palace recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brighton at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-6-1
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
Crystal Palace away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-5
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
League matches this season before kick-off: Brighton at home only, Crystal Palace away only.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Brighton 2 · draws 5 · Crystal Palace 2.
22%
56%
22%
BrightonDrawsCrystal Palace
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | Crystal Palace | 0-0 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2025-04-05 | Crystal Palace | 2-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2024-12-15 | Brighton | 1-3 | Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 2024-02-03 | Brighton | 4-1 | Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 2023-12-21 | Crystal Palace | 1-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2023-03-15 | Brighton | 1-0 | Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 2023-02-11 | Crystal Palace | 1-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2022-01-14 | Brighton | 1-1 | Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 2021-09-27 | Crystal Palace | 1-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Brighton, previous: Brighton vs Everton: odds and pick
- Brighton, next: Aston Villa vs Brighton: odds and pick
- Crystal Palace, previous: Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace analysis
- Crystal Palace, next: Crystal Palace vs Burnley prediction