Why this pick: Burnley vs Bournemouth
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Burnley 10, Bournemouth 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BurnleyBournemouth
0.79
xG per 90
1.66
0.79
npxG per 90
1.59
14.1
PPDA
14.1
3.5
Deep completions per 90
6.1
0.55
xPTS per 90
1.55
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Burnley and Bournemouth recent form
Burnley
1W 1D 4L
Bournemouth
2W 4D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Burnley at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-8
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.07
- Goals against / match
- 1.64
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
Bournemouth away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-6-5
- Win rate
- 21%
- Goals for / match
- 1.64
- Goals against / match
- 2.21
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
League matches this season before kick-off: Burnley at home only, Bournemouth away only.
Burnley vs Bournemouth head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Burnley 0 · draws 1 · Bournemouth 2.
0%
33%
67%
BurnleyDrawsBournemouth
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | Bournemouth | 1-1 | Burnley | Premier League |
| 2024-03-03 | Burnley | 0-2 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2023-10-28 | Bournemouth | 2-1 | Burnley | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Burnley, previous: Everton vs Burnley: odds and pick
- Burnley, next: Fulham vs Burnley prediction
- Bournemouth, previous: Bournemouth v Brentford analysis
- Bournemouth, next: Bournemouth v Manchester United analysis