Why this pick: Bournemouth vs Brentford
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Bournemouth 10, Brentford 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BournemouthBrentford
1.78
xG per 90
1.89
1.71
npxG per 90
1.81
14.6
PPDA
10.8
5.7
Deep completions per 90
7.8
1.52
xPTS per 90
1.65
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Bournemouth and Brentford recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bournemouth at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-6-2
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.07
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
Brentford away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-0-8
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.79
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
League matches this season before kick-off: Bournemouth at home only, Brentford away only.
Bournemouth vs Brentford head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Bournemouth 0 · draws 2 · Brentford 7.
0%
22%
78%
BournemouthDrawsBrentford
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | Brentford | 4-1 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2025-08-26 | Bournemouth | 0-2 | Brentford | League Cup |
| 2025-03-15 | Bournemouth | 1-2 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2024-11-09 | Brentford | 3-2 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2024-05-11 | Bournemouth | 1-2 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2023-09-02 | Brentford | 2-2 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2023-01-14 | Brentford | 2-0 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2022-10-01 | Bournemouth | 0-0 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2021-05-22 | Brentford | 3-1 | Bournemouth | Championship |
Before and after this match
- Bournemouth, previous: Bournemouth – Sunderland, 2026-02-28
- Bournemouth, next: Burnley vs Bournemouth prediction
- Brentford, previous: Burnley v Brentford analysis
- Brentford, next: Brentford – Wolverhampton Wanderers, 2026-03-16