Why this pick: Burnley vs Manchester United
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Burnley 10, Manchester United 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BurnleyManchester United
1.15
xG per 90
1.94
1.00
npxG per 90
1.87
12.8
PPDA
8.4
5.2
Deep completions per 90
7.7
0.81
xPTS per 90
1.69
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Burnley and Manchester United recent form
Burnley
0W 2D 4L
Manchester United
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Burnley at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-6
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.30
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Manchester United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-4-3
- Win rate
- 30%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.70
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 10
League matches this season before kick-off: Burnley at home only, Manchester United away only.
Burnley vs Manchester United head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Burnley 0 · draws 1 · Manchester United 2.
0%
33%
67%
BurnleyDrawsManchester United
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-30 | Manchester United | 3-2 | Burnley | Premier League |
| 2024-04-27 | Manchester United | 1-1 | Burnley | Premier League |
| 2023-09-23 | Burnley | 0-1 | Manchester United | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Burnley, previous: Brighton – Burnley, 2026-01-03
- Burnley, next: Liverpool v Burnley analysis
- Manchester United, previous: Leeds vs Manchester United: odds and pick
- Manchester United, next: Manchester United vs Manchester City: odds and pick