Why this pick: Brighton vs Burnley
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Brighton 10, Burnley 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BrightonBurnley
1.68
xG per 90
1.20
1.53
npxG per 90
1.04
9.2
PPDA
13.0
7.4
Deep completions per 90
5.4
1.30
xPTS per 90
0.79
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Brighton and Burnley recent form
Brighton
0W 3D 3L
Burnley
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brighton at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-1
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.78
- Goals against / match
- 1.22
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 9
Burnley away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-7
- Win rate
- 11%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 9
League matches this season before kick-off: Brighton at home only, Burnley away only.
Brighton vs Burnley head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Brighton 0 · draws 2 · Burnley 0.
0%
100%
0%
BrightonDrawsBurnley
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-13 | Burnley | 1-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2023-12-09 | Brighton | 1-1 | Burnley | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Brighton, previous: West Ham vs Brighton prediction
- Brighton, next: Manchester City vs Brighton: odds and pick
- Burnley, previous: Burnley – Newcastle United, 2025-12-30
- Burnley, next: Burnley vs Manchester United prediction