Why this pick: Burnley vs Newcastle United
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Burnley 10, Newcastle United 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BurnleyNewcastle United
1.22
xG per 90
1.65
1.06
npxG per 90
1.49
13.2
PPDA
10.4
4.8
Deep completions per 90
6.6
0.80
xPTS per 90
1.50
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Burnley and Newcastle United recent form
Burnley
0W 2D 4L
Newcastle United
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Burnley at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-5
- Win rate
- 22%
- Goals for / match
- 0.78
- Goals against / match
- 1.11
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 9
Newcastle United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-5
- Win rate
- 11%
- Goals for / match
- 0.78
- Goals against / match
- 1.22
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 9
League matches this season before kick-off: Burnley at home only, Newcastle United away only.
Burnley vs Newcastle United head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Burnley 0 · draws 0 · Newcastle United 3.
0%
0%
100%
BurnleyDrawsNewcastle United
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | Newcastle United | 2-1 | Burnley | Premier League |
| 2024-05-04 | Burnley | 1-4 | Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 2023-09-30 | Newcastle United | 2-0 | Burnley | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Burnley, previous: Burnley vs Everton: odds and pick
- Burnley, next: Brighton – Burnley, 2026-01-03
- Newcastle United, previous: Manchester United vs Newcastle United: odds and pick
- Newcastle United, next: Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace prediction