Why this pick: Chelsea vs Arsenal
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Chelsea 10, Arsenal 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ChelseaArsenal
1.97
xG per 90
1.93
1.90
npxG per 90
1.85
9.8
PPDA
11.2
8.5
Deep completions per 90
10.7
1.67
xPTS per 90
2.22
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Chelsea and Arsenal recent form
Chelsea
5W 1D 0L
Arsenal
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chelsea at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
Arsenal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
League matches this season before kick-off: Chelsea at home only, Arsenal away only.
Chelsea vs Arsenal head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Chelsea 0 · draws 2 · Arsenal 4.
0%
33%
67%
ChelseaDrawsArsenal
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-16 | Arsenal | 1-0 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2024-11-10 | Chelsea | 1-1 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2024-04-23 | Arsenal | 5-0 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2023-10-21 | Chelsea | 2-2 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2023-05-02 | Arsenal | 3-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2022-11-06 | Chelsea | 0-1 | Arsenal | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Chelsea, previous: Burnley vs Chelsea: odds and pick
- Chelsea, next: Leeds v Chelsea analysis
- Arsenal, previous: Arsenal vs Tottenham: odds and pick
- Arsenal, next: Arsenal v Brentford analysis