Why this pick: Chelsea vs Brentford
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Chelsea 10, Brentford 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ChelseaBrentford
1.66
xG per 90
1.96
1.59
npxG per 90
1.73
9.1
PPDA
11.3
6.6
Deep completions per 90
6.8
1.33
xPTS per 90
1.60
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Chelsea and Brentford recent form
Chelsea
1W 2D 3L
Brentford
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chelsea at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Brentford away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-7
- Win rate
- 30%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
League matches this season before kick-off: Chelsea at home only, Brentford away only.
Chelsea vs Brentford head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Chelsea 2 · draws 4 · Brentford 3.
22%
44%
34%
ChelseaDrawsBrentford
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-13 | Brentford | 2-2 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2025-04-06 | Brentford | 0-0 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2024-12-15 | Chelsea | 2-1 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2024-03-02 | Brentford | 2-2 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2023-10-28 | Chelsea | 0-2 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2023-04-26 | Chelsea | 0-2 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2022-10-19 | Brentford | 0-0 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2022-04-02 | Chelsea | 1-4 | Brentford | Premier League |
| 2021-12-22 | Brentford | 0-2 | Chelsea | League Cup |
Before and after this match
- Chelsea, previous: Fulham v Chelsea analysis
- Chelsea, next: Crystal Palace vs Chelsea: odds and pick
- Brentford, previous: Brentford vs Sunderland prediction
- Brentford, next: Brentford v Nottingham Forest analysis