Why this pick: Everton vs Arsenal
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Everton 10, Arsenal 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
EvertonArsenal
1.26
xG per 90
2.05
1.18
npxG per 90
1.97
15.7
PPDA
10.8
5.8
Deep completions per 90
10.1
1.17
xPTS per 90
2.23
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Everton and Arsenal recent form
Everton
4W 0D 2L
Arsenal
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Everton at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.38
- Goals against / match
- 1.12
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 8
Arsenal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.88
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 8
League matches this season before kick-off: Everton at home only, Arsenal away only.
Everton vs Arsenal head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Everton 1 · draws 2 · Arsenal 5.
12%
25%
63%
EvertonDrawsArsenal
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | Everton | 1-1 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2024-12-14 | Arsenal | 0-0 | Everton | Premier League |
| 2024-05-19 | Arsenal | 2-1 | Everton | Premier League |
| 2023-09-17 | Everton | 0-1 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2023-03-01 | Arsenal | 4-0 | Everton | Premier League |
| 2023-02-04 | Everton | 1-0 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2022-07-16 | Arsenal | 2-0 | Everton | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2022-05-22 | Arsenal | 5-1 | Everton | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Everton, previous: Chelsea vs Everton: odds and pick
- Everton, next: Burnley vs Everton: odds and pick
- Arsenal, previous: Arsenal v Wolverhampton Wanderers analysis
- Arsenal, next: Arsenal – Brighton, 2025-12-27