Why this pick: Everton vs Liverpool
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Everton 10, Liverpool 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
EvertonLiverpool
1.47
xG per 90
1.93
1.39
npxG per 90
1.93
14.5
PPDA
10.2
5.4
Deep completions per 90
11.9
1.30
xPTS per 90
1.66
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Everton and Liverpool recent form
Everton
3W 1D 2L
Liverpool
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Everton at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-6
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.31
- Goals against / match
- 1.19
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 16
Liverpool away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-7
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.44
- Goals against / match
- 1.56
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
League matches this season before kick-off: Everton at home only, Liverpool away only.
Everton vs Liverpool head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Everton 1 · draws 1 · Liverpool 3.
20%
20%
60%
EvertonDrawsLiverpool
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-20 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Everton | Premier League |
| 2025-04-02 | Liverpool | 1-0 | Everton | Premier League |
| 2025-02-12 | Everton | 2-2 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2024-04-24 | Everton | 2-0 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2023-10-21 | Liverpool | 2-0 | Everton | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Everton, previous: Brentford vs Everton prediction
- Everton, next: West Ham vs Everton prediction
- Liverpool, previous: Liverpool v Fulham analysis
- Liverpool, next: Liverpool vs Crystal Palace: odds and pick