Updated
Premier League · 2026/27
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Liverpool fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
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2026/27 league season, 8 matches played. Straight tallies of Liverpool results, three points for a win.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Place in the 2026/27 table after each of 8 league matches, recomputed from results.
Ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored — from played results, not an imported table. Every point is the table as it stood on that date, when other clubs may have played fewer matches, so the last point can read differently from the current table at the top of this page. Hover a point for the match.
Next 8 scheduled — a prediction page appears once a fixture enters our publication window.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Arsenal (H) | ArsenalOur prob 40%Best odds 2.38 | 40% | 2.38 | |
| at Crystal Palace (A) | LiverpoolOur prob 52%Best odds 1.80 | 52% | 1.80 | |
| vs Manchester United (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| at Everton (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Sunderland (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| at Chelsea (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Leeds (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Tottenham (H) | not yet published | — | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded). Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update. 22 more fixtures scheduled later this season.
| Date · round | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 9 September 2026 League Stage - 1 |
vs Atletico Madrid | 2–1 win |
| 14 October 2026 League Stage - 2 |
at Lask Linz | 6–3 win |
| 20 October 2026 League Stage - 3 |
vs Villarreal | 4–3 win |
| 4 November 2026 League Stage - 4 |
at Fenerbahçe | upcoming |
| 25 November 2026 League Stage - 5 |
at Club Brugge KV | upcoming |
| 9 December 2026 League Stage - 6 |
vs FC Porto | upcoming |
| 19 January 2027 League Stage - 7 |
at Inter | upcoming |
| 27 January 2027 League Stage - 8 |
vs Lens | upcoming |
Last 8 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Brighton (H)Our pick Liverpool · 43% | Liverpool to win | 43% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| at Brentford (A)Our pick Brentford · 42% | Brentford to win | 42% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| vs Manchester City (H)Our pick Manchester City · 43% | Manchester City to win | 43% | 0–3 | Correct | |
| at Bournemouth (A)Our pick Liverpool · 38% | Liverpool to win | 38% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| vs Fulham (H)Our pick Liverpool · 58% | Liverpool to win | 58% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| at Ipswich (A)Our pick Liverpool · 51% | Liverpool to win | 51% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| vs Nottingham Forest (H)Our pick Liverpool · 60% | Liverpool to win | 60% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| at Newcastle United (A)Our pick Liverpool · 45% | Liverpool to win | 45% | 2–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result. Scores are Liverpool’s goals first; H/A = home/away.
Liverpool at home Liverpool awayLeague matches this season only: Liverpool at home in the left column, away in the right.
B. BarcolaMidfielder
3 G 0 A